Showing posts with label before. Show all posts
Showing posts with label before. Show all posts

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Coalition needs to sort out growth before it can sell RBS

They're right. Stephen Hester should be paid more, quite a lot more, for running one of the world's biggest and most complex banks. But he's also working for the Government, RBS's biggest shareholder, which is capable of precipitating the most crass outcomes when bending to its Parliamentary opponents.

Hester's pay row was just one more example of the contradictions that bedevil a government-owned bank. What's good for taxpayers (and voters) as bank shareholders may be seen as bad for the same people as bank customers.

This was clear in 2008 when we recapitalised RBS and Lloyds Banking Group, although I assumed then the Treasury, with £66bn tied up in the two banks, would act to protect and enhance the value of its investments not damage them, which has been the case.

Anyway, all this highlights how undesirable it is for the Coalition to continue owning the stakes. Which brings us to the question of selling them.

Given how under water the shares are, the debate's a tad premature. But the answer is to sell to the highest possible bidder as quickly as possible.

Distributing shares to taxpayers is costly, impractical and not particularly fair or risk-free politically. Some don't want them, some will lose them, some won't get them, some won't understand them and quite a lot will be insulted by them when they see the small allocation each taxpayer is entitled to after enduring years of austerity. It would be more cost-effective, practical and fair to all if the Treasury sells our stakes and uses the bulk proceeds to pay down debt or fund tax cuts to stimulate growth.

The practicalities of selling such large stakes means the process will have to be done in relatively small tranches using all methods, including stake sales to institutions such as sovereign wealth funds and hedge funds, placings on the stockmarket and cheap retail offers too.

What it won't be is quick. If we begin during this Parliament (big if), the process may not be complete before the end of the next Parliament. But none of this can happen until banks start to recover, which in turn requires confidence to recover. So a government lacking a coherent growth strategy is unlikely to enjoy a successful exit strategy for its bank stakes.

One man watching the fate of Jamie Dimon with more interest than most will be rival rainmaker Lloyd Blankfein.

The two men have one thing in common, well two to be exact, and that's their jobs. Both hold down the dual roles of chief executive and chairman – a habit frowned upon by UK shareholders but tolerated in the US – until now.

Dimon's butter fingers in allowing JP Morgan to drop $2bn, possibly more, in botched risk management has prompted serious shareholders to call for him to split the roles. If that applies to Dimon then surely it applies to Blankfein's Goldman Sachs roles too. Effective risk management requires the chief executive to hive off some responsibilities to an independent chairman, who can better keep an eye on what's happening on behalf of shareholders than an all- powerful, dual-role banker. If you're a Goldmans shareholder, why wait for a $2bn Dimon-style cock-up before this little penny drops?

The more Heathrow and its advocates roar about its limitations as a global hub, the more they highlight the attractions of its nearest rival – Gatwick. Under newish ownership, Gatwick has received £1bn of investment with another £1bn to come. It has plenty of capacity with improved terminals built to take bigger, quieter planes. It has just added Air China to Beijing. If BA's oneworld alliance is Heathrow-centric then rival Star Alliance could be more Gatwick-biased. An upgraded link to London is needed but Gatwick's case should be heard.

damian.reece@telegraph.co.uk


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Monday, April 16, 2012

Dodgers' planned sale before judge

WILMINGTON, Del. (AP) -- A federal bankruptcy court judge in Delaware is holding a hearing Friday on whether to approve a reorganization plan by the Los Angeles Dodgers that would put the team on track to exit bankruptcy.

The team said this week that it expects U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Kevin Gross to approve Frank McCourt's plan to sell the team for $2 billion to Guggenheim Baseball Management.

Friday's hearing dragged into the evening, however, as lawyers for the Dodgers and Major League Baseball sparred over the information being given to the league about the plan. A lawyer for Major League Baseball said the league has issues with the plan and is owed more information. A Dodgers lawyer said the team has met all the criteria to have the plan confirmed.


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Thursday, April 12, 2012

U.S. Treasury yields steady before this week's supply

LONDON (Reuters) -Treasury yields were broadly steady on Tuesday as the prospect of supply this week offset a boost in demand for Treasuries from weaker-than-expected jobs data.

U.S. 10-year government bond yields were flat at 2.05 percent and 30-year yields were little changed at 3.20 percent with the U.S. Treasury scheduled to sell 10-year notes on Wednesday and 30-year paper on Thursday.

"You have got supply, so if anything that supply is going to weigh on the market. It's real duration that is coming into this market," said a trader.

At 2.05 percent, 10-year yields still hovered close to four-week lows hit on Monday. Yields fell as far as 2.019 percent that day after U.S. jobs data came in below expectations last week, casting doubt over the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.

Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report showed just 120,000 jobs were added during March, far below the market's median expectation of 203,000 and helping to revive speculation of further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. Treasuries did not fully react to the data last week as the market was only open for half a day during the Good Friday holiday.

Societe Generale expected the 10-year Treasury yield to break below the 2.019/2.031 percent support area and decline to at least the tentative rising support line coming at 1.851 percent.

But others in the market said yields could remain around current levels until they get further evidence of economic weakness or additional insight into the Fed's thinking on more monetary stimulus.

"Markets had become maybe a bit too optimistic and had written off more monetary easing too early," Philip Marey, strategist at Rabobank said. "If we get a couple of bad non-farm payrolls in a row, I think it would be interesting for the Fed to start sterilized asset purchases."

Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher, an outspoken policy hawk, told Reuters in March he had not heard U.S. monetary policymakers discuss the possible introduction of a "sterilized" bond-buying program, where it seeks to counter any inflationary impact, as was suggested by a report in the Wall Street Journal that month.

Before the jobs data, market participants had interpreted recent Fed comments and improved data to mean the bar for further monetary stimulus was extremely high.

(Reporting by Ana Nicolaci da Costa; Editing by Ruth Pitchford)


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